• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1939

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Nov 11 01:49:36 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 110149
    SPC MCD 110148=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1939
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0748 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

    Areas affected...north Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 548...

    Valid 110148Z - 110445Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 548

    SUMMARY...The severe hail and wind threat is expected to continue east/southeast across the watch area.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of strong to severe storms, previously over
    the Wichita Falls area, is expected to persist east/southeastward
    across north TX, and possibly merge with other activity north of
    Denton. Despite loss of heating, cold air aloft with the upper
    trough will overspread the moist sector where low 60s F dewpoints
    remain, which will maintain favorable instability. Further, the
    organized nature of the western cluster suggests several more hours
    of wind and hail potential extending east/southeastward across north
    TX. In addition, 0-1 km SRH of 200-300 m2/s2 may yet support a brief
    tornado with cells preceding the main outflow surge.

    ..Jewell.. 11/11/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!tIjlOh44tXTLZdx5XXs8T7P3V0Y7DLG0Si9zUhAoEb_NGbhU-sgaDSykIkmJbtyM4-RDZ-g8$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 32229584 32869792 34129745 33469539 32229584=20

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