• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1929

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Nov 3 20:47:10 2021
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    Content-Type: text/plain
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

    ACUS11 KWNS 032047
    SPC MCD 032046=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1929
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0346 PM CDT Wed Nov 03 2021

    Areas affected...South TX

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 032046Z - 032215Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...A continued increase in thunderstorm coverage and
    intensity is expected through the remainder of this afternoon and
    early evening. An isolated stronger storm may produce hail and
    gusty surface winds, but a watch is not currently anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms continue to develop near, and
    immediately north of, a southward-moving cold front extending from
    near Houston to 50 miles northwest of Laredo TX at 2045z. Additional
    storm development is expected over the next few hours, aided
    primarily by frontal lift and an approaching shortwave trough in the
    presence of MLCAPE averaging 500-1500 J/kg. Despite modest effective
    shear, a couple stronger storms over the next few hours may be
    capable of producing gusty surface winds and hail. The likelihood of
    more than isolated coverage of severe-caliber wind/hail should
    remain too low for watch issuance.

    ..Bunting/Hart.. 11/03/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vwWblkdzgphYIr1ze2jtDIPET5uBqgaVd92Lkh0KZB4peBm0UOvR1zUPfCCTJVlZtaoM1tw6$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 26949753 26089729 26119809 26409880 26819920 27619959
    28230019 28530024 28939857 29039670 29339581 29359480
    28939501 27859665 27219726 26949753=20

    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1635972433-129950-221--

    --- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)