• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1887

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Oct 24 07:14:04 2021
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    Content-Type: text/plain
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

    ACUS11 KWNS 240713
    SPC MCD 240713=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1887
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0213 AM CDT Sun Oct 24 2021

    Areas affected...Parts of northern and central Missouri and adjacent
    portions of northeastern Kansas and west central Illinois

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 530...

    Valid 240713Z - 240915Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 530

    SUMMARY...Increasing thunderstorm development appears likely in a
    corridor across north central Missouri, to the north of Interstate
    70, through 4-6 AM CDT. Some of this activity may pose a risk for
    severe hail, which may continue beyond the watch expiration.=20
    However, this threat may remain marginal enough that a new severe
    weather watch may not be needed.

    DISCUSSION...The primary initial convective development has been
    focused along the warm frontal zone near the 850 mb level, beneath
    the cooler mid-level temperatures. To the south of this band,
    potential instability is larger, but inhibition associated with
    warmer mid-level temperatures has tended to suppress thunderstorm
    development. However, latest model output continues to indicate
    that there will be increasing lift along this corridor through
    09-11Z, which seems likely to support increasing new thunderstorm
    development. As this occurs, the environment will probably be
    conducive to a few supercell structures posing at least a marginal
    severe hail risk, before activity becomes more widespread.

    ..Kerr.. 10/24/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!uMvIJf3P1uB-e6Z8DvyUxsGT281Kp5Tr1xtk2ohV6r6WZIQ3XMt2KenIOi8v4N9cSW60Za_4$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 40239522 40199266 39349033 38849074 38839255 38949395
    39229485 40239522=20

    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1635059650-2133-895--

    --- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)