• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1848

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Oct 13 06:53:11 2021
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    Content-Type: text/plain
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

    ACUS11 KWNS 130653
    SPC MCD 130652=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1848
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0152 AM CDT Wed Oct 13 2021

    Areas affected...Portions of central/south-central KS

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 524...

    Valid 130652Z - 130815Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 524 continues.

    SUMMARY...Scattered severe/damaging winds and a tornado or two
    remain possible with a line of storms moving eastward across central/south-central Kansas early this morning.

    DISCUSSION...A robust line of storms is progressing quickly eastward
    around 40-50 kt across central and south-central KS. A measured
    severe wind gust to 71 mph was recently recorded at an OK Mesonet
    site very near the OK/KS border in Woods County OK. Other estimated
    winds around 70-75 mph have been reported with this line in KS. In
    the short term, scattered severe winds will likely remain the threat
    given the linear nature of the ongoing storms and the rather strong
    low-level inflow associated with a 50-60 kt southerly low-level jet.
    But, an embedded tornado or two also remains possible with very
    favorable low-level shear. The line is currently processing the best boundary-layer instability over south-central KS, where around
    1000-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE is present. Boundary-layer instability
    weakens fairly quickly into southeastern KS, but low-level
    moistening owing to the ongoing strong low-level warm advection may
    offset this to some extent. With favorable low-level and deep-layer
    shear present across this region, storms will probably be able to
    maintain their intensity for at least a couple more hours.
    Accordingly, Tornado Watch 524 has been locally extended eastward a
    few counties by WFO ICT.

    ..Gleason.. 10/13/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!q0eIHitlblwdXYibdCoYk6DjTyusjfnCjyKIUH2EtXf4Gr19SI_O3Cm0M23ES-4XyuQS6yoE$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 37069897 37739843 38199791 39089773 38719711 38489639
    37039654 37069897=20

    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1634107997-54005-2391--

    --- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)