• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1824

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Oct 11 00:20:03 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 110019
    SPC MCD 110019=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1824
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0719 PM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021

    Areas affected...Northeast OK...Southeast KS...Southwest MO

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 517...

    Valid 110019Z - 110145Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 517 continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe threat is increasing across southeast KS/southwest
    MO. A new tornado watch may be warranted for this region.

    DISCUSSION...Strong short-wave trough is advancing east across the
    southern High Plains this evening. In response, LLJ is forecast to
    increase markedly across eastern OK into southwest MO over the next
    several hours. 00z sounding from OUN exhibits a classic supercell
    wind profile, but some capping still exists near 700mb. Adequate
    buoyancy extends northeast ahead of the front into southeast KS
    which should encourage strong/severe thunderstorms along/ahead of
    the front in the next few hours. Strengthening low-level shear
    supports some risk for a few tornadoes.

    ..Darrow.. 10/11/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!qCyxBwQtlJM8WNgkWm9RLDQc--qP57MZoKtNX4Z4oWeybbmobeVVSgGsIgcBqv-C6A0-h_Ff$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 37039671 38139554 38279432 37539438 36529564 37039671=20

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