• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1823

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Oct 10 23:33:26 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 102333
    SPC MCD 102332=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1823
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0632 PM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021

    Areas affected...Southwestern-Central Oklahoma

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 516...

    Valid 102332Z - 110130Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 516 continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will race northeast across
    southwestern into central Oklahoma this evening, likely approaching
    the southwestern Oklahoma City metro by 01z. Very strong winds and
    hail are expected, along with tornadoes.

    DISCUSSION...Leading edge of large-scale forcing for ascent is
    spreading across western OK/northwestern TX early this evening. Deep
    convection has finally responded to this forcing and is increasing
    along the surging cold front, and south along the dry line.
    Strongest supercell has developed immediately ahead of the surface
    low over Kiowa County and this storm should mature into a larger
    cluster as it propagates downstream into Caddo/northern Comanche
    Counties. Very strong winds could ultimately evolve with this
    complex if upscale growth continues; although in the short term,
    very large hail is likely, along with the threat for tornadoes.
    Leading edge of severe should surge into the western/southwestern
    portions of the Oklahoma City metro by 01z.

    ..Darrow.. 10/10/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!r-AvfxLCWCZ1jYyEhFMKqI4rDUWcdMJzciE_b6RPjiifEBwMYb8wUq4l_LZjI3bBrjqLsWgO$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 35059884 36139715 35149652 34549866 35059884=20

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