• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1808

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Oct 7 11:46:03 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 071145
    SPC MCD 071145=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1808
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0645 AM CDT Thu Oct 07 2021

    Areas affected...Central FL Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 071145Z - 071245Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...An isolated tornado is possible this morning across the
    central FL Panhandle.

    DISCUSSION...Sporadic rotation has been noted in a few cells
    embedded within ongoing cluster of showers and thunderstorm in the
    ECP vicinity of the western FL Panhandle. The strongest rotation
    appears to be occurring as the shallow cells ahead of the cluster
    encounter the southeastward surging outflow. Instability is modest,
    but the low-level air mass is very moist and low-level shear will be
    locally enhanced by the meso-low resulting from the prolonged
    showers and thunderstorms. As a result, this overall pattern of
    interaction between cells ahead of the outflow may continue to
    result in a threat for a brief tornado or two. Isolated and brief
    nature of the threat will preclude the need for a watch.

    ..Mosier/Grams.. 10/07/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!tTOl2bSeqKFOESOlD79y1fpM6oehBawm_cbQDSmMWGlii96yan1Lgj75cxytPCYkarDOcAzV$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 29978570 30168586 30398561 30368517 30088473 29748489
    29668532 29978570=20

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