• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1751

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Sep 15 00:06:36 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 150006
    SPC MCD 150006=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1751
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0706 PM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

    Areas affected...Parts of southwestern into south central Kansas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500...

    Valid 150006Z - 150130Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500

    SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered storms posing a risk for
    severe hail and locally strong wind gusts may linger into the 8-9 PM
    CDT time frame.

    DISCUSSION...A zone of differential surface heating, beneath the
    periphery of the remnants of a plume of elevated mixed-layer air,
    has provide the focus for isolated intense thunderstorm development
    late this afternoon. With relatively moist easterly low-level flow
    to the cool side of this front contributing to moderately large CAPE
    and strong deep layer shear, a splitting supercell formed to the
    east of Dodge City. The remnants of this activity have been slowly
    propagating north/northeastward and south-southeastward within
    rather modest (around 20 kt) westerly ambient deep-layer mean flow,
    and may continue to pose a risk for severe hail and locally strong
    surface gusts for another hour or two.

    ..Kerr.. 09/15/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!oaKycs_Y_IRy_Hr0U2awTLOH7C1N0ue6svHvLMNNlNtBLNMNUT-8oyH5cSrwlIAhQkNO_D96$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 38279932 38559870 38019755 37419742 37189855 37459930
    37789975 38279932=20

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