• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1750

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Sep 14 23:47:06 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 142347
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 142346=20
    OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-150115-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1750
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0646 PM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

    Areas affected...Southeast Michigan...northern Indiana...and
    northwest Ohio

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 142346Z - 150115Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat may continue, but no watch is
    expected.

    DISCUSSION...Severe reports have been sporadic across watch 498 this
    afternoon due to the limited intensity and storm coverage across the
    region. The boundary layer has started to cool ahead of these storms
    as the sun sets. Continued boundary-layer cooling and increasing
    inhibition should limit storm intensity east of watch 498. Isolated
    strong to severe storms remain possible, but a more organized threat
    is not expected and therefore, no downstream watch is anticipated.

    ..Bentley/Edwards.. 09/14/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!uVUfLx8gf3LXmeG5ukWQwHbuPdi23fbix3yxcTXtAs0m9r4UU4lZWl9TSUrSHQG_xWRG081j$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...

    LAT...LON 40558628 40808612 42418377 42898234 42158266 41898264
    41588214 40558242 40218280 40218280 39818342 40058552
    40368606 40558628=20



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