• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1685

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Sep 2 21:24:06 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 022124
    SPC MCD 022123=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1685
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0423 PM CDT Thu Sep 02 2021

    Areas affected...Central Kansas

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 022123Z - 022300Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...Storm coverage/intensity increasing across central Kansas.
    A watch may be needed.

    DISCUSSION...Storms have developed across the warm sector in central
    Kansas in an airmass with around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE and effective
    shear around 30 to 35 knots leading to some updraft organization.
    The primary severe threat is still expected to be with development
    along the front later, especially into southern Nebraska, but
    ongoing activity has shown enough persistence/intensity for earlier
    watch consideration.

    ..Bentley/Guyer.. 09/02/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!rHGM-ftmeWjSKFqydNliCTkn4BWvOB7nL8omu-hUhJzIfHR5l5HZMBwhQCA3nxZUr3qfiVFL$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 37660014 38859933 39509846 39729712 38839709 37539793
    37199985 37660014=20

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