• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1664

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Aug 31 23:44:51 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 312344
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 312344=20
    GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-010115-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1664
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0644 PM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021

    Areas affected...Southeastern Alabama into southwestern Georgia

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 312344Z - 010115Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...A brief, weak tornado or two may occur in the next 1-2
    hours before the thermodynamic and kinematic environment will become
    less favorable. No watch is anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...A few marginal supercells with weak rotation have
    developed within a narrow band of better buoyancy where temperatures
    have risen into the low 80s F. At least one tornado was reported in
    the vicinity of Dothan, AL within the last hour and another weak TDS
    apparent on 23:39 UTC KEOX velocity imagery. With low-level winds
    continuing to veer, nocturnal cooling beginning in the next couple
    of hours, and mid-level subsidence moving overhead (per water vapor
    imagery), the threat for a brief, weak tornado or two will likely
    only last another 1-2 hours. No watch is expected this
    afternoon/evening.

    ..Wendt/Edwards.. 08/31/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vtGk7DGude6KEWLHI477TkfdhQ-KmtgKb4V-KlzQN-d3_YZ2pMZ8LYLf38gFvVjogEp76_i7$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...

    LAT...LON 31248599 32258495 32588434 32488379 32208372 31368414
    31058467 30848550 30848602 31008612 31248599=20



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