• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1660

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Aug 31 12:59:48 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 311259
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 311259=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-311400-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1660
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0759 AM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021

    Areas affected...Northeast KS and northwest MO

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 311259Z - 311400Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated strong-damaging gusts may occur in the next 1-2
    hours across northeast KS/northwest MO, but storms are expected to
    weaken by mid morning and a watch is not anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of overnight storms persists this morning,
    moving southeastward from southeast NE into northeast KS and
    northwest MO. The storms have been focused atop the outflow from
    earlier convection across northern MO, where lift is stronger.=20
    However, buoyancy is modest and vertical shear weakens with
    southward extent (away from the MCV near the MO River), so the
    storms are not expected to maintain intensity for very long this
    morning. There will be a threat for isolated strong-damaging gusts
    for another hour or two this morning, but the overall expectation is
    for the storms to weaken and that a severe thunderstorm watch is not
    necessary.

    ..Thompson.. 08/31/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!sqUHNWA1JB2vR7P1XzFE0EJp5m5nV45KyXYNVgUqY3XailcxH7hC0R1Mk7n50iW6aXedpwgF$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...

    LAT...LON 40359490 40139414 39399401 38929436 38849536 39009615
    39509674 39789658 40039545 40359490=20



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