• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1591

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Aug 24 14:13:58 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 241413
    SPC MCD 241413=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1591
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0913 AM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

    Areas affected...eastern Wisconsin

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 241413Z - 241515Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Threat for a few strong to severe gusts will persist
    across a part of eastern Wisconsin until about 16Z. Overall
    magnitude and spacial extent of the threat does not appear to
    warrant a WW at this time.

    DISCUSSION...A line of storms along the eastern periphery of a large
    MCS is moving east at 35 kt through central WI. These storms are
    tracking along the instability gradient associated with a reservoir
    of moderate instability (2000 J/kg MLCAPE) which extends from
    southern WI through central and southern Lake Michigan. Overall
    tendency has been for storms to undergo some weakening. However, as
    the downstream boundary layer warms, some re-intensification is
    possible before activity moves offshore.

    ..Dial/Kerr.. 08/24/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!uBOS4znKGqlUfAQod67-K78ZNHYomJImIPZmyN8pOOr6C7AdYlO3nfzY8okmj5pEH8PgJkDc$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 44078928 44678900 45268861 45258785 44648752 43878776
    43798856 44078928=20

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