• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1538

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Aug 16 23:26:37 2021
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    Content-Type: text/plain
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

    ACUS11 KWNS 162326
    SPC MCD 162326=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1538
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0626 PM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021

    Areas affected...Tropical Storm Fred

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 441...

    Valid 162326Z - 170030Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 441 continues.

    SUMMARY...Some low tornado potential remains with Tropical Storm
    Fred; however, a new tornado watch may not be warranted.

    DISCUSSION...Tropical Storm Fred has moved inland with the center of circulation northeast of Panama City. Boundary-layer air mass is not particularly buoyant ahead of Fred as surface temperatures are
    mostly in the mid-upper 70s across ww441. With poor instability,
    strong circulations have been limited, though several long-lived,
    shallow, rotating showers persist, especially from western
    Taylor-Leon-Decatur County corridor. In the absence of steeper
    low-level lapse rates, any boundary-layer cooling will likely prove
    detrimental toward updraft intensity. Will continue to monitor
    downstream regions for possible new tornado watch, however it's not
    clear at this time a new watch is warranted.

    ..Darrow.. 08/16/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!qEL1kG2c2xYb38alV_N3KSiQHgUai7sTsqRNKk57SJxCXdLFo-MZ3HXako_xiZVHzCG9GaB8$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 29528554 31558553 31398333 29378333 29528554=20

    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1629156401-54770-9334--

    --- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)