• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1509

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Aug 13 03:20:41 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 130320
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 130320=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-130545-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1509
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1020 PM CDT Thu Aug 12 2021

    Areas affected...Northeast KS...Northwest MO...Southeast NE

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 130320Z - 130545Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Sporadic intense thunderstorm development may continue
    overnight, with a threat of isolated severe hail and wind.

    DISCUSSION...Periodic intense thunderstorm development has been
    noted for much of the evening across northeast KS and northwest MO,
    with a few reports of severe hail since 00Z. This activity is being
    supported by strong elevated buoyancy, as observed in the 00Z TOP
    sounding. While generally weak vertical shear will continue to limit
    storm organization, a modest low-level warm advection regime will
    continue to support occasional strong thunderstorm development
    overnight, with the strongest cells capable of hail and isolated
    strong wind gusts.

    ..Dean/Goss.. 08/13/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!usRzFw4dYuX7J5oQ7BcRO2HppzJ28IkCa7cpwP_tMzv-Q7E1ibpgg0IOBBxmIc-TA0baLUjU$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...

    LAT...LON 38169434 38209659 38409757 38979797 39729800 40259728
    40469531 40199362 40089347 39589308 38349306 38169434=20



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