• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1501

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Aug 12 19:51:09 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 121951
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 121950=20
    MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-VTZ000-122045-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1501
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0250 PM CDT Thu Aug 12 2021

    Areas affected...southern NH...much of MA

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 121950Z - 122045Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...A small severe thunderstorm watch is being considered for
    the areas east of an ongoing cluster near the VT/MA/NY border. This
    activity is expected to move to the I-95 corridor. Isolated strong
    to severe gusts are possible.

    DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows a cluster of storms near the
    VT/MA/NY border as of 345pm. This activity is located to the east
    of an eastward-moving MCV currently located over central NY. The
    Albany, NY ASOS recently observed a gust of 39 kt. The airmass over
    southern New England has warmed into the lower 90s with dewpoints
    generally in the lower 70s. It appears at least an isolated risk
    for strong to locally severe gusts will materialize east of severe
    thunderstorm watch 432. The overall coverage of damaging gusts is
    still in question but some risk appears to be increasing through the
    early evening.

    ..Smith/Thompson.. 08/12/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!sSHPHPfUqcxIVKkfjs3P3uD8-W3ku4MKlBRoWlClEPcvkbrAZlrHpGlwZtoBeZSPqqKtNps-$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...ALY...

    LAT...LON 42987274 43327232 43337051 42087059 41907283 42247301
    42987274=20



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