• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1441

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Aug 8 04:43:13 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 080443
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 080442=20
    KSZ000-OKZ000-080615-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1441
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1142 PM CDT Sat Aug 07 2021

    Areas affected...Parts of south central and southeastern Kansas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 414...

    Valid 080442Z - 080615Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 414
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A strong downburst or two may still be possible near and
    north through east of the Wichita area between now and 1-2 AM,
    before waning.

    DISCUSSION...Forcing for ascent near outflow boundary intersection
    has been sufficient to maintain vigorous thunderstorm development in
    a small cluster which appears likely to progress across areas
    near/north through east of the Wichita area during the next couple
    of hours. Some further organization and intensification may still
    be possible, along the with potential to produce a strong downburst
    or two. However, northeast and east of the Wichita area, latest
    observational data and objective analysis suggest that inflow into
    convection may become increasing less unstable, and this risk may
    wane near or shortly after 07Z..

    ..Kerr.. 08/08/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!ujgmEISuOKedlowcrjE7JXiF2_mxqukNa3GudJLVh-UOaEYdkZbIBaalBuf0giiTwV7DLpld$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...

    LAT...LON 36959818 37299825 38009764 38249675 38499627 38569587
    37999580 37689622 37369699 37119743 36959818=20



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