• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1409

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Aug 1 04:11:25 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 010411
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 010410=20
    TNZ000-010615-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1409
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1110 PM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

    Areas affected...Western/middle TN

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 010410Z - 010615Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...Damaging winds will likely accompany a bow as it tracks
    southeast over the next 1-2 hours. Severe thunderstorm watch is
    being considered.

    DISCUSSION...Well-organized bow has developed over western TN late
    this evening. This convection is now surging southeast at 45-50kt
    and is likely producing severe/damaging winds as it moves across
    Henderson into Decatur County. Downstream convection is sagging
    south ahead of this convection so it should be nudged toward Lewis
    County along the southwestern flank of the middle TN storms. There
    some concern an adequate cold pool has now formed such that this
    activity could spread toward the AL border over the next few hours.

    ..Darrow/Goss.. 08/01/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vTCEt2JiI5-YyU_sxajtEfySm6HE7HhKMkaDoLDcs-BF0X8hHuSHLGxqdGblBS3zho6YZHmq$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OHX...MEG...

    LAT...LON 35928853 35718722 35318727 35558853 35928853=20



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