• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1402

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jul 31 05:55:55 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 310555
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 310554=20
    MOZ000-KSZ000-310700-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1402
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1254 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

    Areas affected...northwest Missouri

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405...

    Valid 310554Z - 310700Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Overall severe potential appear limited across WW 405,
    though locally gusty winds remain possible.

    DISCUSSION...Strong thunderstorms are continuing to propagate
    south/southeast over northwest MO. Overall convection has been
    largely unproductive in producing severe gusts over the past couple
    of hours. This is likely due to increasing boundary-layer inhibition
    combined with a rather modest low-level jet. Convection is not
    expected to increase in intensity with southward extent overnight,
    but sporadic/locally gusty winds are possible with the more intense
    cells within the loosely organized line/cluster. Watch extensions
    and/or new watch issuance is not expected at this time and WW 405 is
    set to expire at 07z.

    ..Leitman.. 07/31/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!upvxl4I6U_99x730i5LSNAtzlWXpVkyiNIBJ5YOD0fjbr0y8XcEF8i-tv6WigQC7Bj2a8gNi$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...

    LAT...LON 40049285 39909231 39049244 38689285 38579344 38739421
    39129488 39599522 39949510 40009482 40109437 40119390
    40049285=20



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