• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1377

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jul 28 22:08:09 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 282207
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 282207=20
    NCZ000-SCZ000-282330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1377
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0507 PM CDT Wed Jul 28 2021

    Areas affected...Southern North Carolina and northern South Carolina

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 282207Z - 282330Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...An isolated damaging wind and large hail threat will
    continue south of watch 398. No additional watch is expected.

    DISCUSSION...Several strong to severe storms have developed south of
    watch 398. MLCAPE around 2000 to 2500 J/kg and effective shear
    around 30 knots will continue to support some storm organization and
    an isolated severe threat. However, a cooling boundary layer through
    the evening and weaker mid-level flow with southern extent should
    result in a less supportive severe weather environment through the
    evening. Therefore, while some isolated severe weather is possible,
    the limited duration of the threat precludes the need for an
    additional watch.

    ..Bentley/Goss.. 07/28/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vicOtumWDY0vK3QrOU7TVme-23kTBs5x3p98ry8VS5vG46McqIxTnr0TIc_zMLhodOnoOhoU$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...

    LAT...LON 35277914 35097807 34487721 34157776 33767795 33797844
    33617885 33407904 33317916 33647977 34118021 34558048
    34978056 35038056 35277914=20



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