• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1357

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jul 26 22:03:55 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 262203
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 262203=20
    NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-262330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1357
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0503 PM CDT Mon Jul 26 2021

    Areas affected...Northern New York and Vermont

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 262203Z - 262330Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated large hail or a damaging wind gust is possible
    this evening.

    DISCUSSION...Storms have developed in eastern Ontario and St.
    Lawrence counties over the past few hours. These storms have stayed
    below severe limits thus far and are mostly expected to remain that
    way given the somewhat weak shear and MLCAPE only around 500 to 1000
    J/kg. If storms congeal/collide, a stronger updraft may be possible
    which could pose a threat for isolated damaging winds/large hail.
    Overall, expect most of these storms to produce sub-severe
    winds/hail over the next few hours.

    ..Bentley/Grams.. 07/26/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!uPFy4lFW3FCbYt0lJHr_2OU-JoNe9X1IA8F0CWZT3pWPYGyfCGGzz3I_nEcPd5At5XA4-Xej$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...ALY...BUF...

    LAT...LON 45027491 45057306 45047241 45037177 44907161 44687162
    44337192 44047205 43757235 43717310 43647354 43757472
    43927538 44207574 44417601 45027491=20



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