• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1354

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jul 26 21:43:55 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 262143
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 262143=20
    NCZ000-VAZ000-262315-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1354
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0443 PM CDT Mon Jul 26 2021

    Areas affected...Far northeast North Carolina and far southeast
    Virginia

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 262143Z - 262315Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...There will be an isolated damaging wind threat across far
    southeast Virginia and far northeast North Carolina over the next 1
    to 2 hours. No watch is anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...The cluster of storms which produced some damaging wind
    across eastern Virginia has shown some weakening as it moves
    southward toward areas with decreasing effective shear. However, the
    airmass ahead of these storms is still quite unstable with MLCAPE
    around 2500 J/kg. Therefore, an isolated severe wind threat may
    persist as this activity moves southeastward out of watch 392.
    However, a more organized threat is not anticipated, and therefore,
    no downstream watch is planned.

    ..Bentley/Grams.. 07/26/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!sZOFspT9Ef7gnW2cnaf9_5wwzD0qa7tAC0bVapFDmqLtDgoTFpJciBjVRRQ0ni3eL39uLOMb$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...

    LAT...LON 36697700 36757631 36707588 36307565 36137563 35857560
    35777578 35767614 35787669 36007691 36237711 36497728
    36697700=20



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