• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1347

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Jul 25 23:37:19 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 252337
    SPC MCD 252336=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1347
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0636 PM CDT Sun Jul 25 2021

    Areas affected...Southwest Utah...northwest Arizona...and southern

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 252336Z - 260130Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...Cluster of storms may pose a severe wind threat as it
    continues southwest.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of cells has developed in southwest Utah and
    started to accelerate southwestward. The environment downstream of
    this activity is unstable with MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg per SPC
    mesoanalysis. Mesoanalysis also shows increasing CINH across this
    region which may limit the overall severe threat. However if this
    cluster can maintain intensity, it may pose a severe wind threat as
    it moves southwestward over the next couple of hours into an area
    with DCAPE of 1400 to 1700 J/kg.

    ..Bentley/Grams.. 07/25/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vJBVKKw6_oR8G4PAIA4NeQl8hpXgouOxSvf_24t6UHe4bWe3L3Ib_tsMpTHn1c2-bJpBdOch$=
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    LAT...LON 37891377 37681304 37431280 37021276 36701285 35801340
    35171385 35031446 35121482 35431526 35591551 35811566
    36061576 36661556 37891377=20

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