• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1332

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jul 23 21:30:36 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 232130
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 232129=20
    NMZ000-232300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1332
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0429 PM CDT Fri Jul 23 2021

    Areas affected...portions of central and southwest New Mexico

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 232129Z - 232300Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms are expected to persist
    through the evening.

    DISCUSSION...Strong cells have developed in central New Mexico this
    afternoon with one report of 1.75 inch hail thus far. Additional
    severe storms have developed with a 2.5 inch MESH core across
    southern Torrance County as of 2120Z. Expect additional development
    through the remainder of the afternoon and into the evening as the
    airmass across western New Mexico has warmed into the low 90s ahead
    of the westward-drifting upper low. Expect storms to be mostly
    strong to isolated severe. However, if the activity currently in
    central New Mexico congeals as it drifts southwestward there could
    be a greater potential for more organized severe storms with a
    damaging-wind threat. Effective shear of 30 to 35 knots per SPC
    mesoanalysis would support the potential for some organization. If
    this occurs a severe thunderstorm watch may need to be considered.

    ..Bentley/Edwards.. 07/23/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!tGKZs6NJsSbTP1XQzYRRrZqv8FRgythW01oeCf3qaFvUQ5pGZWNRs2gzNN3eWIe2fYzMwiu7$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...

    LAT...LON 35480685 35230587 34750547 34320530 33470540 32790579
    32390652 32330762 32530791 33010828 33860862 35360876
    35480685=20



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  • From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jul 23 21:33:35 2021
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    ------------=_1627076021-2011-1044
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    ACUS11 KWNS 232133
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 232132 COR
    NMZ000-232300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1332
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0432 PM CDT Fri Jul 23 2021

    Areas affected...portions of central and southwest New Mexico

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 232132Z - 232300Z

    CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms are expected to persist
    through the evening.

    DISCUSSION...Strong cells have developed in central New Mexico this
    afternoon with one report of 1.75 inch hail thus far. Additional
    severe storms have developed with a 2.5 inch MESH core across
    southern Torrance County as of 2120Z. Expect additional development
    through the remainder of the afternoon and into the evening as the
    airmass across western New Mexico has warmed into the low 90s ahead
    of the westward-drifting upper low. Expect storms to be mostly
    strong to isolated severe. However, if the activity currently in
    central New Mexico congeals as it drifts southwestward there could
    be a greater potential for more organized severe storms with a
    damaging-wind threat. Effective shear of 30 to 35 knots per SPC
    mesoanalysis would support the potential for some organization. If
    this occurs a severe thunderstorm watch may need to be considered.

    ..Bentley/Edwards.. 07/23/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!q5QoUOSOQBg7aEboNmVwE8Yxh-xyFLMIyHiBBJF9r-Dc4ZH4nq34rSseJS5OTZT4ONfvH4zh$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...

    LAT...LON 35480685 35230587 34750547 34320530 33470540 32790579
    32390652 32330762 32530791 33010828 33860862 35350872
    35480685=20



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