• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1324

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jul 21 18:40:23 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 211840
    SPC MCD 211839=20 MAZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-212045-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1324
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0139 PM CDT Wed Jul 21 2021

    Areas affected...Parts of eastern Maryland...Delaware...southeastern Pennsylvania...southern New Jersey...Rhode Island...southeastern

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385...

    Valid 211839Z - 212045Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 385

    SUMMARY...Strong thunderstorm development may still impact parts of southeastern New England, southern New Jersey and the Delmarva
    Peninsula, posing a risk for marginally severe hail and locally
    damaging wind gusts through 4-6 PM EDT, while becoming more isolated
    in nature elsewhere.

    DISCUSSION...The eastward progression of the mid-level trough, slow southeastward advancement of the cold front and influence of
    convective outflow associated with early thunderstorm development
    have increasingly confined stronger boundary-layer instability to
    the Delmarva Peninsula, southern New Jersey and portions of
    southeastern New England. This is generally focused south of the
    the cold front into pre-frontal surface troughing, where stronger
    thunderstorm development is expected to continue to increase and
    tend to consolidate through 4-6 PM EDT.=20=20

    Beneath cool mid-level temperatures, residual moisture may maintain
    sufficient instability to support a continuing risk for additional
    thunderstorm development across the remainder of the watch area to
    the west and north, but this probably will be much more isolated in

    ..Kerr.. 07/21/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!rHxWRXTz9PqDY6kohqDTW4KNJSJ12H-T1ixgllhWEbCM2qqFV-mL-WNgkCRZ1-H9DDddt_Wj$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 39317638 39847607 40297525 40367428 40517320 40757202
    41277154 41647208 42337058 41776958 40707023 39677034
    38847134 37927433 37477525 37187586 38497670 39317638=20

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