• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1249

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Jul 11 01:02:34 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 110102
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 110101=20
    ARZ000-OKZ000-110230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1249
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0801 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

    Areas affected...Eastern/East-Central OK...Northwest/West-Central AR

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 367...

    Valid 110101Z - 110230Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 367
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated wind damaging gusts remain possible across
    northeastern OK. A downstream watch across east-central
    OK/west-central AR is not currently anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...Recent KINX radar imagery shows the cold pool out ahead
    of main convective cluster. Updrafts within this cluster are also
    weaker than those developing farther west along the cold front. The
    downstream air mass is strongly unstable and storm development
    behind the cold pool will likely continue. However, given the
    current storm trends and expectation for vertical shear to remain
    near its current strength (or perhaps even weaken a little), it
    seems unlikely that reinvigoration of this line/cluster will occur
    and storms will likely stay sub-severe. As such, a downstream watch
    is not currently anticipated.

    ..Mosier.. 07/11/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vZ4Wq8NFMqQ635u_-vcOXwk1z3qUUgHCDnVFZ4syKzWg40A0jkBSAaAQjhJnCQLAfmlHlizu$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

    LAT...LON 36079652 36429594 35959412 35019428 34839535 35059634
    36079652=20



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