Mesoscale Discussion 1248
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0739 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021
Areas affected...Parts of northeast Kansas and west-central Missouri
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366...
Valid 110039Z - 110145Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366
SUMMARY...Threat for strong/severe wind gusts is becoming more
localized in WW 366. Greatest potential exists along southwest flank
of convection now near Lawrence, KS.
DISCUSSION...The line of storms moving along the Missouri River has
become somewhat less organized over the past 90 minutes. Convection
forming ahead of the line has generally remained weak and has left
outflow from roughly near Lawrence, KS into the eastern Kansas City
Metro area. This outflow along with a greater influence of
convection farther to the south is expected to limit the overall
intensity of storms as the evening progresses. Storms on the
southwestern flank of of the activity have the greatest potential
for strong/severe wind gusts, with Lawrence, KS gusting to 60 kts
recently. However, KEAX radar imagery shows outflow quickly moving
ahead of these storms making the threat potentially short-lived.
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