• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1234

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jul 10 08:09:59 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 100809
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 100809=20
    ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-101015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1234
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0309 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

    Areas affected...southeastern Missouri/southern Illinois

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364...

    Valid 100809Z - 101015Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Local risk for gusty/damaging winds continues across WW
    364.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows near-continuous line of strong
    storms moving southeastward across southeastern Missouri and
    adjacent southern Illinois at around 30 kt. Ahead of the storms, an
    airmass featuring 1000 to 1500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE persists, which
    should allow convection to persist as it advances steadily
    southeastward. While the latest PAH WSR-88D VWP data shows only
    moderate (AOB 30 kt) flow through the lower half of the troposphere,
    a few stronger gusts remain possible given the still-organized
    nature of the convective band.

    ..Goss.. 07/10/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!stcat1_8hQ1s2ExzzROvhV7Hhgo0tBF8CnpyGPhYVJTyz46ldIRpropuxnTaxQJtUubLVIgv$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...SGF...

    LAT...LON 37329078 37559010 38118912 38168874 37828843 37128915
    36499019 36519095 37099113 37329078=20



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