• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1211

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jul 9 18:15:55 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 091815
    SPC MCD 091815=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1211
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0115 PM CDT Fri Jul 09 2021

    Areas affected...eastern Virginia into eastern Maryland and Delaware

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 091815Z - 092015Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...Scattered storms are expected to form over the next few
    hours with locally damaging wind gusts and small hail possible.

    DISCUSSION...Surface convergence continues to increase in relation
    to a developing low pressure trough, with westerly winds across
    western VA and NC. GPS PWAT sensors indicate a relative maximum
    around 1.80" over eastern VA, with continued heating further
    destabilizing the air mass. Shear is weak, but the favorable time of
    day and steepening low-level lapse rates should foster strong
    outflow, with a few severe gusts possible. The increasing westerly
    flow should push the better moisture eastward with time,

    ..Jewell/Bunting.. 07/09/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!oE0YXgGo18PXc7M_JcnvqkeA_M4u_lzHTpNTbHvA4KJksNp18nJVOnr5BXKZ66EikyA6l3lr$=
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    LAT...LON 36317743 36157819 36197893 36697877 37317812 37947768
    38967718 39607682 39737631 39767582 39707554 39357525
    38917526 38687533 38417548 37837570 37297592 36767654

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