• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1203

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jul 8 20:37:20 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 082037
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 082036=20
    CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-082230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1203
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0336 PM CDT Thu Jul 08 2021

    Areas affected...eastern Pennsylvania northeastward into Connecticut

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 351...

    Valid 082036Z - 082230Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 351
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms remain possible over parts of the
    area, but the event has likely peaked. Locally damaging gusts or
    marginal hail can be expected.

    DISCUSSION...Storms continue to increase in coverage across
    southeast PA in a zone of warm advection, and some of these may
    contain marginal hail or strong wind gusts. Farther east, outflow
    from an earlier, more robust cluster has reinforced a boundary which
    is beginning to limit the warm sector over NJ. MLCAPE over 1500 J/kg
    remains south of the outflow boundary, which may yet lead to a few
    strong to severe cells, but shear is weaker with southward extent. A
    continued increase in storm coverage and outflow production suggest
    the greatest severe risk is in the short term.

    ..Jewell.. 07/08/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!qnC54sZyxw6YXTrjJDTFwMIV6xAQJoOxhxq3pMzpXcTOcf56izjFW7fDAQ8brVLJ6YW0rpbi$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...

    LAT...LON 40767252 40487385 40297390 39967396 39717627 39847707
    40267724 40907618 41407480 41787361 41857283 41707238
    41387221 41047226 40907226 40767252=20



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