Mesoscale Discussion 1179
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1128 AM CDT Wed Jul 07 2021
Areas affected...North FL...southeast GA...southern SC
Concerning...Tornado Watch 341...
Valid 071628Z - 071830Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 341 continues.
SUMMARY...The risk for a few tornadoes continues in association with
Tropical Storm Elsa, and a new Tornado Watch will be coordinated
prior to the scheduled expiration of Tornado Watch 341.
DISCUSSION...A new Tornado Watch will be coordinated prior to the
17z scheduled expiration of Tornado Watch 341, and will likely be
extended north to near the SC-GA state line. Outer bands continue
to rotate northwest around the circulation of Tropical Storm Elsa,
and latest RAP forecast soundings suggest a favorable kinematic
environment for a few brief tornadoes to develop as Elsa begins to
turn to a more north-northeast motion this afternoon. In addition,
filtered heating through high-level clouds over parts of southeast
GA will contribute to an increase in buoyancy and a more favorable thermodynamic environment.
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