Mesoscale Discussion 1176
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0606 AM CDT Wed Jul 07 2021
Areas affected...western and central Florida
Concerning...Tornado Watch 340...
Valid 071106Z - 071200Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 340 continues.
SUMMARY...Tornado risk has diminished a bit over the past 1 to 2
hours. With WW 340 set to expire at 07/12Z, a replacement WW may
not be required.
DISCUSSION...As Tropical Storm Elsa continues shifting slowly
northward, weakening of the primary convective band east of the
center has occurred, over the Peninsula. Accordingly, low-level
circulations have become less numerous and weaker over the past hour
While tornado risk will remain non-zero, particularly near and north
of the Tampa area with a secondary band of convection east/southeast
of the center of circulation where low-level flow remains more
backed, at this time it appears that a replacement WW -- south of
newly issued Tornado Watch 341 over northern Florida -- may not be
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