• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1176

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jul 7 11:06:39 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 071106
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 071106=20
    FLZ000-071200-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1176
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0606 AM CDT Wed Jul 07 2021

    Areas affected...western and central Florida

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 340...

    Valid 071106Z - 071200Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 340 continues.

    SUMMARY...Tornado risk has diminished a bit over the past 1 to 2
    hours. With WW 340 set to expire at 07/12Z, a replacement WW may
    not be required.

    DISCUSSION...As Tropical Storm Elsa continues shifting slowly
    northward, weakening of the primary convective band east of the
    center has occurred, over the Peninsula. Accordingly, low-level
    circulations have become less numerous and weaker over the past hour
    or so.

    While tornado risk will remain non-zero, particularly near and north
    of the Tampa area with a secondary band of convection east/southeast
    of the center of circulation where low-level flow remains more
    backed, at this time it appears that a replacement WW -- south of
    newly issued Tornado Watch 341 over northern Florida -- may not be
    required.

    ..Goss.. 07/07/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vP7zc495bzDI0uRt0HDZQkYc1dh0ugqquV7NsH84FmY1vEvyIsmEbt8ksvNfNPcXyvs3kFq2$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...

    LAT...LON 29278319 29408267 29058170 27938136 26798131 25788166
    25738230 27708293 28468294 29278319=20



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