• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1174

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jul 7 07:04:41 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 070704
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 070703=20
    FLZ000-070900-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1174
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0203 AM CDT Wed Jul 07 2021

    Areas affected...western and central Florida

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 340...

    Valid 070703Z - 070900Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 340 continues.

    SUMMARY...Risk for brief tornadoes continues across portions of
    western and central Florida.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar and satellite loops show the center of
    Tropical Storm Elsa west of Tampa, moving slowly northward -- in
    line with the latest NHC track forecast.

    East of the center, several spiral bands are noted in radar, with
    the most pronounced band onshore, extending in an arc from roughly
    Fort Myers to Cross City. Within this band, several
    occasional/somewhat transient circulations have been observed, some
    cyclically weakening and then increasing again. While not
    particularly strong, any of these circulations -- aided by 35 kt
    0-1km shear per the latest TBW WSR-88D VWP -- may be associated with
    brief tornadic spin-ups.

    ..Goss.. 07/07/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!q2dKjqiypYkQjMvdoVR1g3MI5vKhWV3m9nIvvQpeEDTCDBTy8H9G-sOMu6vyn_0vKo6YDn9v$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...

    LAT...LON 26308255 26928221 27308222 27628234 28028282 29228325
    29378283 29088200 28438145 27258140 26628154 26178195
    26308255=20



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