• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1153

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jul 5 02:21:22 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 050221
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 050220=20
    TXZ000-NMZ000-050345-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1153
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0920 PM CDT Sun Jul 04 2021

    Areas affected...Parts of east central New Mexico and adjacent west
    Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333...

    Valid 050220Z - 050345Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333
    continues.

    SUMMARY...An isolated severe storm may continue to develop across or
    just to the west and southwest of Clovis, NM, through 9-10 PM MDT,
    before diminishing later this evening. A new severe weather watch
    is not anticipated, but portions of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333
    may be locally extended in time for an hour or two.

    DISCUSSION...While upscale growth has not occurred, an isolated
    long-lived supercell is maintaining considerable strength as it
    approaches the Clovis, NM area. There may be a strong downburst
    ongoing, and associated outflow has undercut the lower/mid-level
    mesocyclone, but latest objective analysis suggests that moderate
    to strong south-southwesterly low-level storm relative winds may
    maintain inflow of moist air with sizable CAPE into the updraft for
    at least another or two. As this occurs, stronger convection should
    tend to propagate near or just to the west through southwest of
    Clovis through 03-04Z.

    ..Kerr.. 07/05/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!uhIBwfNISH1aS5iB6F7YmdtyUL_7ykaPKqJxO6eiasFIuiA199JuT-JF7SCYhv_lZLSC9IWR$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LUB...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 34620341 34480290 33890312 33760357 34040381 34620341=20



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