• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1115

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 26 23:27:55 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 262327
    SPC MCD 262327=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1115
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0627 PM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

    Areas affected...Southeast NM...northwest TX...southwest OK

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 323...

    Valid 262327Z - 270100Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 323

    SUMMARY...Hail and wind threat continue across ww323.

    DISCUSSION...Surface front has effectively stalled across the
    southern High Plains this evening, trailing from northwestern OK
    near END-CSM-HOB in southeast NM. High PW air mass extends along
    this corridor with 1.5-2 inch values noted where MLCAPE is in excess
    of 2000 J/kg. Although scattered storms will likely evolve along
    this corridor through the evening hours, latest data suggests this
    boundary may not move appreciably tonight. Until the reservoir of
    buoyancy is overturned, the most robust updrafts could produce hail,
    in addition to gusty winds. There appears to be a possible prolonged
    convective scenario developing across the southern Plains. Very
    heavy rain can also be expected.

    ..Darrow.. 06/26/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!t8nfkmg8F3XA8BubAhc6h6g7IsBiIaMVWuaHy2KP_IE7FxZlmGqxVp8Yrvc5inw5jf7Ph4Kx$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 33230369 35369739 33909740 31790370 33230369=20

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