• Pacific-EN: Enrique A7

    From Weather Alert@1:2320/105 to All on Sat Jun 26 18:01:00 2021
    WTPZ35 KNHC 262053
    TCPEP5

    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Enrique Advisory Number 7
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021
    400 PM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

    ...ENRIQUE NO LONGER RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING...
    ...EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT...


    SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...17.3N 105.9W
    ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
    ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * Cabo Corrientes to San Blas Mexico

    A Hurricane Watch may be required for portions of the southwestern
    coast of Mexico later tonight or tomorrow.

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was
    located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 105.9 West. Enrique is
    moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn to the
    northwest is expected later tonight with the storm maintaining a
    northwest heading for the next several days. On the forecast track,
    the core of Enrique is expected to remain offshore roughly parallel
    to the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Some slight additional strengthening is possible in the
    short term, but Enrique is expected to begin weakening early
    next week as it begins moving over cooler waters.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
    center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
    (220 km).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Hurricane Enrique can be found in the Tropical
    Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
    KNHC, and on the web at http://www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages .

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely occuring in the eastern
    portions of the warning area. These winds are expected to spread
    westward within the warning area tonight and through the weekend.
    Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area on Sunday.

    RAINFALL: Through Monday, Enrique is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
    inches over Colima and coastal sections of Michoacan and Jalisco in
    southwest Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-
    threatening flash flooding and mudslides over portions of
    southwestern Mexico.

    SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
    coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely
    to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
    consult products from your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
    Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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