• Pacific-EN: Enrique A5A

    From Weather Alert@1:2320/105 to All on Sat Jun 26 10:01:00 2021
    WTPZ35 KNHC 261143
    TCPEP5

    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021
    700 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

    ...ENRIQUE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH SUNDAY...


    SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...16.8N 105.0W
    ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
    ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * Cabo Corrientes to San Blas Mexico

    A Hurricane Watch may be required for portions of the southwestern
    coast of Mexico later today.

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was
    located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 105.0 West. Enrique is
    moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). The storm
    is forecast to gradually slow down and turn toward the northwest
    tonight or Sunday, and then continue on a northwesterly heading
    through Monday. On the forecast track, the core of Enrique is
    expected to remain offshore roughly parallel to the southwestern
    coast of Mexico during the next two to three days.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or
    so, and Enrique is forecast to become a category 2 hurricane by
    Sunday.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
    the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
    miles (220 km).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Storm Enrique can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO
    header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web
    at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages__;!!DZ3fjg!t8PbhLthwmhmtuqpruYIn5vfYydY0U75_xQUUFaVB2vaMkRvBTzd1hU4116lQyhHrShB0UXK$
    .

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely occuring in the eastern
    portions of the warning area. These winds are expected to spread
    westward within the warning area tonight and through the weekend.
    Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area on Sunday.

    RAINFALL: Through Monday, Enrique is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
    inches over Colima and coastal sections of Michoacan and Jalisco in
    southwest Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-
    threatening flash flooding and mudslides over portions of
    southwestern Mexico.

    SURF: Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
    coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely
    to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
    consult products from your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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