Mesoscale Discussion 1102
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0826 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021
Areas affected...Southern Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 314...
Valid 260126Z - 260230Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 314
SUMMARY...Elongated corridor of prolonged thunderstorm activity will
be noted across southern Kansas this evening. Some portion of this
watch may need to be extended in time, locally.
DISCUSSION...Southwestern flank of eastern KS/MO MCS has sagged into southeastern KS and currently arcs west-northwest across western
portions of ww314. Southward momentum has all but stopped across
south-central KS, partly in response to an upstream MCV that is
evolving near DDC. Latest thinking is this upstream MCV will
continue east, along/just north of the OK border. With 35kt
south-southwesterly 1km flow into this east-west band, it would
appear this activity will continue much of the evening. While hail
may occasionally reach severe levels, the primary meteorological
concern will be very heavy rain for an extended period.
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