• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1085

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jun 25 01:13:44 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 250113
    SPC MCD 250113=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1085
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0813 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

    Areas affected...portions of western and central Kansas...and

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310...

    Valid 250113Z - 250315Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 310

    SUMMARY...Strong/severe storms continue over parts of eastern
    Colorado and adjacent/far western Kansas. As risk expands/spreads
    eastward with time this evening, an eventual/new WW extending into
    central Kansas appears likely.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows storms congealing into a fairly
    intense cluster over the Cheyenne/Kit Carson County vicinity in
    east-central Colorado, with some initial/subtle hints of possible
    mesolow development. Farther southeast, a somewhat loosely
    organized band of storms is indicated, with an eventual merging of
    these two convective areas expected with time.

    As the eastern Colorado/western Kansas convection evolves, eastward
    advance of the storms will eventually result in severe risk
    spreading across eastern portions of WW 310, into central Kansas.=20
    This would likely warrant eventual/new WW issuance, as a developing
    low-level jet supports convective continuation. Meanwhile though, a
    small but rather vigorous cluster of updrafts has developed just
    west of Pratt, KS, east of the southeastern corner of WW 310. We
    will continue to monitor evolution of this convective cluster, as
    any additional increase in convection could force earlier
    consideration for a new WW east of WW 310 than may otherwise have
    been necessary.

    ..Goss.. 06/25/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!t8IW1Vx2hzND43Yx3H-aVD7eP8qinQbWxGvA3OikhwMsPKjAOxUWYu7K_aWzHkp12t_STO8b$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 38570228 39110192 39749998 39809933 39679815 38749774
    37789795 37559898 37480122 38570228=20

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