• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1078

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jun 24 20:03:37 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 242003
    SPC MCD 242003=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 1078
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0303 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

    Areas affected...northwest and north-central WI

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 242003Z - 242130Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...Storms will likely continue to develop over the next 1-2
    hours along the front. The stronger storms will be capable of a
    risk for large hail and isolated damaging gusts.

    DISCUSSION...Visible-satellite imagery shows convection developing
    on the cold front over northwest WI. Considerable cloudiness has
    limited heating over southern WI and much of central WI where
    temperatures are in the 60s to lower 70s deg F. However, cloud
    breaks over west-central WI has led to temperatures warming into the
    upper 70s over north-central WI to the upper 80s near La Crosse.

    Forecast soundings over northwest into north-central WI show
    moderate buoyancy with adequate deep-layer shear for organized
    storms. Several stronger storms will likely be capable of at least
    some risk for large hail and damaging gusts. As this activity moves
    east this evening into northeast WI, the combination of the loss of
    heating and a cooler boundary layer, will probably result in storms
    weakening by mid evening.

    ..Smith/Hart.. 06/24/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!szmndLG1_r1h70q0il8yG4TO-pMG7XD4lr_q3okMQP9LVAeD3pVLGzJieQHpZFjMwMRg9Xr5$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 45249179 45509079 45308998 44718994 44399036 44349124
    44569197 44809223 45249179=20

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