• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1040

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 21 00:15:10 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 210015
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 210014=20
    OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-210115-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1040
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0714 PM CDT Sun Jun 20 2021

    Areas affected...Central/northern IN...southern Lower MI...portions
    of northern OH

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 295...

    Valid 210014Z - 210115Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 295
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to pose a
    risk for large hail and damaging winds.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster/bowing segment of severe storms was located
    over far southwest Lower MI and extreme northern IN at 0010z, with
    more isolated storms over eastern and southern portions of the watch
    area. Ascent with a northeast-moving MCV near the southern tip of
    Lake Michigan will aid additional development through the early
    evening hours, with a continued risk for large hail and damaging
    winds given moderate/strong MLCAPE and 40 kt west/southwest
    mid-level flow. Although the cluster of storms near
    Kalamazoo/Battle Creek will move towards lower instability over the
    next couple of hours, the degree of organization suggests the
    damaging wind threat will persist at least in the short term.

    ..Bunting.. 06/21/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!ujt-7L-nHKJuk7IEae7rodMk1ymeuPPAX4Gc_5S59gC-JucuutDVuPuZP5y-wnwFmsecQNI4$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

    LAT...LON 39848569 39788689 40668730 41588689 42408615 43088613
    43098389 43108311 43038281 42618297 42178331 41698343
    41638207 41238207 39848569=20



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