• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1025

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Jun 20 02:49:37 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 200249
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 200249=20
    MOZ000-ILZ000-200345-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1025
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0949 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

    Areas affected...portions of east-central and northern MO

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 287...

    Valid 200249Z - 200345Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 287
    continues.

    SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat may continue in and west of
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch 287, however a new watch is not
    anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...Strong/occasionally severe storms were occurring across east-central/northeast MO as of 0225z. Trends in radar/reports
    continue to show a general decrease in intensity over the watch area
    during the past hour as MLCIN gradually increases due to nocturnal
    cooling. The more likely area for additional thunderstorm
    development over the next few hours is west of the current watch
    over north-central MO, where modest convergence and lower MLCIN is
    present. With strong instability and 25-30 kts of effective shear,
    the potential for an isolated severe storm will exist for the next
    few hours.

    Given the expected isolated nature of the remaining severe risk, an
    additional watch is not anticipated however convective trends will
    be monitored.

    ..Bunting.. 06/20/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!uK3hTIUdDGhR6y5LFNXG6qVe6GL8v9ijknlApSMVldM3mcGrSxbkkv8UfRzXY5odLRP_kaFf$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...

    LAT...LON 38359068 38969190 39179235 39379326 39789316 39909267
    39879183 39749146 39389098 38579035 38359068=20



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