• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1021

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 19 23:23:01 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 192322
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 192322=20
    GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-200045-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1021
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0622 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

    Areas affected...western FL Panhandle...southeast AL...southwest GA

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 285...

    Valid 192322Z - 200045Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 285 continues.

    SUMMARY...The risk for a few tornadoes associated with Tropical
    Depression Claudette will continue through this evening and
    overnight. A new Tornado Watch will be needed prior to 00z.

    DISCUSSION...Tropical Depression Claudette was located over
    west-central AL, and continuing to move northeast (see latest NHC
    Advisory for additional details). Mesoanalysis and area VWP data
    continue to show a favorable environment for low-level rotation with
    0-1 km SRH of 150-200 m2/s2 across much of the current watch area.=20 Short-range guidance suggests relatively strong 850-mb wind fields
    of 40-45 kt will remain in place overnight across the area, and dew
    points in the 70s will result in surface-based instability through
    the overnight hours. Thus, conditions will remain favorable beyond
    00z for a few tornadoes across southeast AL, the western FL
    Panhandle and southwest GA, and a new Tornado Watch will be
    coordinated prior to 00z.

    ..Bunting.. 06/19/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!tgOan1Gn6f4LZG5BZza7aiUNsV61S8AIFBdefVgpLxD_OMYnmAV8A6jJV2utdNIGkCtC_hOi$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...

    LAT...LON 29898511 30168581 30658603 31538583 31918577 32378578
    32638508 32668446 32558402 32448394 30218401 29898511=20



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