• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1016

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 19 21:24:59 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 192124
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 192124=20
    NEZ000-COZ000-192330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1016
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0424 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

    Areas affected...Nebraska Panhandle and Northeastern Colorado

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286...

    Valid 192124Z - 192330Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Numerous strong-to-severe thunderstorms have developed
    from the Nebraska Panhandle southward to south-central Colorado.=20
    These storms will initially pose a threat for large hail and
    damaging winds. As they grow upscale, especially across the eastern
    Nebraska Panhandle and northeastern Colorado, the threat for a more
    organized wind threat is expected to develop.

    DISCUSSION...With numerous thunderstorms across the area in close
    proximity to one another, cold pool mergers are already taking place
    in the Nebraska Panhandle. As a result, storms are already
    beginning to surge southeastward. Over the next couple of hours,
    these storms and the storms in northeastern Colorado are expected to
    grow upscale. Given the steep lapse-rate environment, sufficient moisture/instability, and increasing midlevel flow/forcing, an
    organized severe wind threat is expected to develop.

    ..Jirak/Guyer.. 06/19/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!sL5TaHq0DmVy6qv5GE3HCk8f5hSpBsdjtrFIp97_-4871UyF0H6G18JdETO4gLISehx5u5To$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

    LAT...LON 42010276 42030244 41300219 40620220 39920226 39390244
    39310282 39360363 40310401 41050395 41330338 42010276=20



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