• Pacific-EN: TS Dolores 5A

    From Weather Alert@1:2320/105 to All on Sat Jun 19 10:32:00 2021
    WTPZ34 KNHC 191151
    TCPEP4

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Dolores Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042021
    700 AM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

    ...DOLORES STILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING AND NEARING LANDFALL ALONG
    THE WESTERN MICHOACAN OR COLIMA COAST...
    ...HEAVY RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO STREAM ONSHORE...


    SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...17.9N 103.4W
    ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM W OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
    ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico

    A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
    * Lazaro Cardenas to Cabo Corrientes Mexico

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * North of Cabo Corrientes to Escuinapa Mexico

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
    next 12 to 24 hours.

    A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
    within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 hours.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolores was
    located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 103.4 West. Dolores is
    moving faster toward the north-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and
    this motion is expected to continue until landfall. Dolores is
    forecast to make landfall along the southwestern coast of Mexico
    within the next few hours.

    Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
    with higher gusts. Additional intensification is possible prior to
    landfall, and Dolores is forecast to be near hurricane intensity
    when it makes landfall later today. Rapid weakening is expected
    after landfall, and Dolores is expected to dissipate by the end of
    the weekend.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.35 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely occurring within the
    warning area, and outside preparations should be complete.
    Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area
    within the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are possible
    within the tropical storm watch area this evening through Sunday
    morning.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Dolores will produce heavy rainfall of 6
    to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches across
    coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan,
    Colima, Jalisco, and Nayarit through the weekend. This will likely
    produce life threatening flash flooding and mudslides.

    Additionally, 3 to 5 inches of rainfall with isolated maximum
    amounts of 8 inches are expected for western Oaxaca, as well as
    southern Sinaloa. This may produce life threatening flash flooding.

    STORM SURGE: A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
    near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Near the
    coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

    SURF: Swells generated by Dolores will affect portions of the
    southwestern coast of Mexico through the weekend. These swells are
    likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
    Please consult products from your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
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