• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0900

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jun 9 22:19:18 2021
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    Content-Type: text/plain
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: Quoted-printable

    ACUS11 KWNS 092219
    SPC MCD 092218=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 0900
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0518 PM CDT Wed Jun 09 2021

    Areas affected...Northern MN

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 092218Z - 092345Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...A few strong storms are possible into this evening, with
    isolated damaging wind and hail possible.

    DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have recently intensified across northern
    MN, with additional development possible across northwest MN near a
    surface boundary, as an MCV continues drifting over the area and a
    stronger shortwave glances the region as it moves across southern
    MB. MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg and effective shear of 25-35 kt will
    favor some organization with the strongest storms.=20

    Forward-propagating clusters capable of locally damaging wind appear
    to be the primary threat, though a transient supercell cannot be
    ruled out, which would also pose a conditional threat of hail or
    perhaps a brief tornado.=20

    Any threat will tend to diminish near/after sunset as the boundary
    layer cools and stabilizes. Watch issuance is unlikely unless an
    uptick in storm coverage and organization is observed in the next
    1-2 hours.

    ..Dean/Dial.. 06/09/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vWxxaKEoytFSj9g3vXFhL21EVO_3HNMUbrZUIndk48--RmRbtTtCdqlbNnbz6XbSZBefO9GW$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 48489588 49409509 49119383 48919304 48069274 48009273
    47299277 46889329 46609389 46739518 47299631 47779656
    48189622 48489588=20

    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1623277164-51543-7028--

    --- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)