• Pacific-EN: I92E Formatio

    From Weather Alert@1:2320/105 to All on Mon Jun 7 15:57:00 2021
    WTPN21 PHNC 070300
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 92E) REISSUED//
    REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060251Z JUN 21//
    AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
    RMKS/
    1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
    090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.1N 109.1W TO 11.9N 112.1W
    WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
    ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
    WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT
    IMAGERY AT 060200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
    NEAR 12.9N 109.5W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08
    KNOTS.
    2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92E) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
    NEAR 13.0N 107.5W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 109.5W, APPROXIMATELY
    1249 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED
    INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 062309Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE
    IMAGE DEPICT AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION OFFSET TO THE NORTHWEST OF AN
    EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
    INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH SUPPORTING
    DIVERGENCE ALOFT, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND
    WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM HAS A SHORT
    WINDOW FOR DEVELOPMENT AS IT WILL MOVE INTO AN UNFAVORABLE SHEAR AND
    OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. SHOULD THE SYSTEM
    FORM, IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
    SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
    PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
    DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
    HOURS REMAINS HIGH. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PHNC 060300).
    3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
    080300Z.//
    NNNN
    --- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)