• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0863

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 7 04:47:58 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 070447
    SPC MCD 070447=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 0863
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1147 PM CDT Sun Jun 06 2021

    Areas affected...Southern TX Panhandle/TX South Plains

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 240...

    Valid 070447Z - 070615Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 240

    SUMMARY...Threat for strong wind gusts and isolated large hail will
    continue across the southern TX Panhandle for at the next 2 hours.

    DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery has begun to show a bit quicker
    forward progression with the line of storms north of LBB in the
    southern TX Panhandle. Storm motion is still only around 20-25 kt
    but persistent southeasterly low-level flow and strong instability
    downstream suggest the potential for additional
    organization/strengthening remains. Thunderstorms south of LBB are
    organizing along the same outflow and have also recently exhibited
    similar forward propagating characteristics. Large hail remains
    possible, but the primary threat has now shifted to strong wind

    The downstream air mass continues to undergo nocturnal
    stabilization, but convective inhibition does appear weak enough to
    allow the ongoing storms to continue. The overall expectation is for
    the ongoing storms to persist for at least the next 2 hours as they
    move eastward across the southern TX Panhandle toward northwest TX.

    ..Mosier.. 06/07/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!sqV8HzxQSHFANoEw7aweZNq70Wk5mMyM9McJM46ptksn1pPjdq2dm63-cTx2TVIe635rUN7h$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 34390208 34770105 34180007 32870029 32780218 34390208=20

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