• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0857

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Jun 6 04:47:52 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 060447
    SPC MCD 060447=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 0857
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1147 PM CDT Sat Jun 05 2021

    Areas affected...Western/Central ND

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238...

    Valid 060447Z - 060615Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238

    SUMMARY...Threat for strong wind gust and isolated large hail
    continues across much of western and central ND.

    DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places the leading edge of the
    cold front from about 50 miles west-northwest of HCO southwestward
    to far northwestern SD (roughly 15 miles northwest of 2WX). The
    thunderstorms ongoing across west-central and northwest ND are well
    behind the front, while those over southwest ND and adjacent far
    northwest SD are near the leading edge of the front. Storm intensity
    has increased in those storms closer to the front, suggesting the
    hail potential is likely increasing across southwest ND and
    south-central ND. Strong wind gusts are also expected to continue
    for the next few hours as the thunderstorm outflow progress eastward
    through the deeply mixed air mass across the region. Some gradual
    weakening of this outflow is possible thereafter as it accelerates
    out ahead of the ongoing storms.

    ..Mosier.. 06/06/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!u6BSuN6mFLCm_28O8pwcGIPNYXtligRTHIBaHC2nntWW9RPstStWh_GV6JoJppyfltvLXHwA$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 48290216 48630190 48860123 48650062 48050041 47260056
    46840079 45830191 45540307 45610385 46280387 47130319

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