• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0840

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jun 2 21:57:29 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 022157
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 022156=20
    TXZ000-030030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0840
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0456 PM CDT Wed Jun 02 2021

    Areas affected...central and southeast Texas

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 022156Z - 030030Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Storms may increase in coverage along a front from the
    Austin area toward Houston. Isolated strong wind gusts or marginal
    hail cannot be ruled out.

    DISCUSSION...Moderate instability with 2000-2500 J/kg MLCAPE has
    developed along and south of a stalled front extending from central
    into southeast Texas this afternoon. Winds in the low levels are
    weak, but increasing winds aloft in the mid to high levels may
    support a few southeastward-moving clusters as storms develop near
    the front. Other storms ongoing near San Angelo may also persist
    southeastward near the boundary, with marginal wind or hail threat.
    Currently, it appears expected severe coverage downstream of watch
    233 may not warrant a new watch, but one could be needed should
    storms become better organized with any substantial wind threat.

    ..Jewell/Thompson.. 06/02/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!pMWI2KBrJ3I7YA9yx2AujAaC4cqwbKQhuNoWjMNBPl1l7oU1sKTsJy8J-20Odws4GJ-OsdDm$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

    LAT...LON 29769699 30199814 30589890 30929921 31259927 31459904
    31549851 31079639 30639493 30299468 29879477 29599507
    29539548 29769699=20



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